Statistical Modeling for Area of Pearl Millet in Gujarat, India
Jignesh K. Parmar, A. D. Kalola, Darshan L. Kothiya, Krunal Panchal
European Journal of Nutrition & Food Safety · pp. 312–326 · Published 7 Mar 2025
10.9734/ejnfs/2025/v17i31669Abstract
The study focuses on modeling the area under pearl millet cultivation in Gujarat, India, using various statistical methods. The analysis employs both parametric (ARIMA, linear, non-linear and Exponential Smoothing State Space models) and non-parametric (LOESS smoothing) approaches. Data from 1980-81 to 2021-22 were used, with models trained on data up to 2013-14 and tested on subsequent data. The study found that the cubic and logistic models provided the best fit among linear and non-linear models, respectively, while ARIMA (0,1,1) with drift and ETS (A,A,N) were optimal among time series models. Ultimately, the cubic model was slightly superior, though ARIMA (011) with drift showed the best forecasting ability. Despite efforts like the National Millet Mission and International Year of Millets, the area under pearl millet cultivation continues to decline, indicating a need for enhanced strategies to support pearl millet farming in Gujarat.
Cited by 0
No indexed citations yet.
Related research
- Effect of Pearl Millet on Glycaemic Control and Lipid Profile in Streptozocin Induced Diabetic Wistar Rat Model — shares topic coverage
- Technological Characterization and Socioeconomic Significance of Djir, a Fermented Cereal Flour Consumed in Chad — shares topic coverage
- Proximate Composition, Functional and Sensory Properties of Pearl Millet, Soy Flour and Baobab Fruit Pulp Composite Flour as a Complementary Food — shares topic coverage
- Effects of the Inclusion of Andrographis paniculata Leaf on the Functional Properties and Pasting Characteristics of Wheat-pearl Millet-Based Flour Blends — shares topic coverage
- Evaluation of Physico-Chemical, Nutritional, Mineral, Functional and Phytochemical Analysis in Functional and Nutraceutical Marked Cereals — shares topic coverage
Article metrics
Real usage data collected on this platform.
0
Page views
0
PDF downloads
0
Outbound clicks
0
Citations
Views by country
Approximate, from request IP at view time — not citizenship or institution. Countries with fewer than 5 views are grouped as "Other".
No views recorded yet.
Traffic sources
Referring site, by host.
No traffic recorded yet.
Views and downloads exclude known bots/crawlers. Citations combines this platform's own DOI-resolved index with each external source's own reported total — see Cited by above for individually listed citing works. Last refreshed 0 seconds ago.