Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Disease Transmission
Asian Research Journal of Mathematics · pp. 123–137 · Published 22 Mar 2021
10.9734/arjom/2021/v17i130269Abstract
We construct a simple mathematical model that describes the dynamics of the transmission of COVID-19 disease in a human population. It accounts for the various phases of the disease and its mode of contact through infectious humans and surfaces. The contribution of asymptomatic humans in the dynamics of the disease is well represented. The model is a system of ordinary dierential equations that describes the evolution of humans in a range of COVID-19 states due to emergence of an index case. The analysis includes establishment of the basic reproduction number, R0, where, R0 < 1 signifies a disease free state that is locally asymptotically stable. A key result in this study shows some long term damped oscillatory behaviour that do not seem to end soon.
References (7)
- 1 La certeza de lo impredecible: Cultura Educación y Sociedad en tiempos de COVID19
- 2 Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics with a case study of Wuhan [DOI]
- 3 Modeling the dynamics of novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) with fractional derivative [DOI]
- 4 An introduction to mathematical biology
- 5 Bifurcation Analysis of a Mathematical Model for Malaria Transmission [DOI]
- 6 The relative transmissibility of asymptomatic COVID-19 infections among close contacts [DOI]
- 7 Using Mathematical Models in Controlling the Spread of Malaria
Cited by 3
A. B. Okrinya, C. N. Timinibife · Asian Research Journal of Mathematics · 2021
A. B. Okrinya · INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTER RESEARCH · 2022
Showing 2 of 3 known citations — external sources report more than can currently be individually listed.
Related research
- COVID 19 Disease Caused by Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) — shares topic coverage
- Assessment of Anxiety in Healthcare Providers Working in ICU during COVID-19 Pandemics — shares topic coverage
- Azithromycin and Hydroxychloroquine Accelerate Recovery of Outpatients with Mild/Moderate COVID-19 — shares topic coverage
- Elevated Levels of Lactate Dehydrogenase Predicts Poor Outcomes for Patients with COVID-19: A Review — shares topic coverage
- Addressing the Challenges of Containing Covid-19 Spread in a Rural, Poor Area in India: A Case Study — shares topic coverage
Article metrics
Real usage data collected on this platform.
0
Page views
0
PDF downloads
0
Outbound clicks
3
Citations
Views by country
Approximate, from request IP at view time — not citizenship or institution. Countries with fewer than 5 views are grouped as "Other".
No views recorded yet.
Traffic sources
Referring site, by host.
No traffic recorded yet.
Views and downloads exclude known bots/crawlers. Citations combines this platform's own DOI-resolved index with each external source's own reported total — see Cited by above for individually listed citing works. Last refreshed 0 seconds ago.