Weather Based Cotton Yield Forecasting Models for South  Gujarat Region

Pravinsinh K. Parmar; Narendra Singh; Vibha Tak; Khyati Sabhani; Abhinav N. Patel

doi:10.9734/ijecc/2023/v13i92564

Research Article Open access CC BY 4.0

Weather Based Cotton Yield Forecasting Models for South Gujarat Region

Pravinsinh K. Parmar, Narendra Singh, Vibha Tak, Khyati Sabhani, Abhinav N. Patel

International Journal of Environment and Climate Change · pp. 3200–3204 · Published 8 Aug 2023

10.9734/ijecc/2023/v13i92564

Abstract

An attempt has been made to developed the pre - harvesting forecasting models for cotton yields using (1995-2020) weather and yield data for Bharuch and Surat districts respectively. Models were validated for three years (2018-2020). Good agreements have been realized between actual and predicted yield with similar trends of deviation at pre - harvest stage. R2 values were 0.78 to 0.93 for both districts and stages respectively. Hence, these models can be used for forecasting cotton yield in mid – season (F1) and pre - harvest stage (F2) which is very useful to government authorities to plan the sugarcane production more efficiently. The estimated cotton yields during kharif, the year 2022 were 769 kg/ha and 870 kg/ha for F1 & F2 stage in Bharuch district and 1209 kg/ha and 1454 kg/ha for F1 & F2 stage in Surat district, respectively.

Cotton weather parameter yield forecast

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Pravinsinh K. Parmar, Narendra Singh, Vibha Tak, Khyati Sabhani, Abhinav N. Patel (2023). Weather Based Cotton Yield Forecasting Models for South Gujarat Region. International Journal of Environment and Climate Change , 3200–3204. https://doi.org/10.9734/ijecc/2023/v13i92564

Affiliations

Pravinsinh K. Parmar — Department of Agricultural Engineering, Agricultural Meteorological Cell, N. M. College of Agriculture, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari –396 450, (Gujarat), India.
Narendra Singh — Department of Soil Science, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari-396450, (Gujarat), India.
Vibha Tak — Department of Agricultural Engineering, Agricultural Meteorological Cell, N. M. College of Agriculture, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari –396 450, (Gujarat), India.
Khyati Sabhani — Department of Agricultural Engineering, Agricultural Meteorological Cell, N. M. College of Agriculture, Navsari Agricultural University, Navsari –396 450, (Gujarat), India.
Abhinav N. Patel — District Agrimet Unit, Krishi Vigyan Kendra, Navsari Agricultural University, Surat ,(Gujarat), India.

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