Electricity Demand and Supply Scenario Analysis for Nigeria Using Long Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP)
Hanif Auwal Ibrahim, Gokhan Kirkil
Journal of Scientific Research and Reports · pp. 1–12 · Published 4 May 2018
10.9734/JSRR/2018/39719Abstract
Electricity demand and supply forecasts are important tools for determining solutions to the problems in the electricity sector such as power outages. The Long Range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) modelling tool was used to project electricity demand and supply for a target year 2040. Three scenarios namely; Business as Usual (BAU), Energy Conservation (EC) and Renewable Energy (REN) were generated. The three scenarios were analyzed based on electricity demand and supply, environmental impacts and costs. The electricity demand in the target year of 2040 for the BAU and REN scenarios increased to 283.6 billion kWh, while that of the EC scenario increased to 233.8 billion kWh from 35.9 billion kWh in the base year (2010). The EC scenario has the least capital cost (44.2 billion USD less than the BAU scenario) and fixed costs (15 billion USD less than the BAU scenario), the EC scenario also has the second largest quantity of Green House Gas (GHG) emissions (1,004.8 million tons of CO2eq). The REN scenario has the least GHG emissions among the three scenarios (114.79 million tons of CO2eq) but is the most expensive scenario to implement because of its high capital (56.3 billion USD more the BAU) and fixed costs (4.1 billion USD more than the BAU scenario). As a result of the economic challenges faced by Nigeria, the EC scenario was found to be the most realistic path in providing uninterrupted power supply.
Cited by 20
Chukwumerije Okereke, Kesiena Owebor, Ogheneruona E. Diemuodeke · Climatic Change · 2025
Mustapha Mukhtar, Sandra Obiora, Nasser Yimen · Sustainability · 2021
Damilola E. Babatunde, Iheanacho H. Denwigwe, Olubayo M. Babatunde · IEEE Access · 2020
Akhtar Abbas, Muhammad Bilal Sajid, Jamsheed Sajid · Energy for Sustainable Development · 2023
Temitope Adeyemi-Kayode, Sanjay Misra, Hope Orovwode · Energies · 2022
Kesiena Owebor, Chukwumerije Okereke, Ogheneruona E. Diemuodeke · Energy, Sustainability and Society · 2025
Hanif Auwal Ibrahim, Michael Kweneojo Ayomoh · Energy Reports · 2022
Sarah Golobish, Rudolf Yeganyan, Naomi Tan · Energy Strategy Reviews · 2025
Olusola Bamisile, Akinola Babatunde, Humphrey Adun · Energy Conversion and Management · 2021
Hanif Auwal Ibrahim, Michael Kweneojo Ayomoh · Energy Strategy Reviews · 2022
Related research
- Evaluation of Trauma Scores, Clinical Outcomes and Hospital Costs of Patients Presenting with Traffic Accidents — shares topic coverage
- Assessment of Municipal Effluent Reclamation Process Based on the Information of Cost Analysis and Environmental Impacts — shares topic coverage
- Evaluation of Integrated Patient-Centered Model of Territorial Transfusion Medicine across Healthcare Settings: A Retrospective Study — shares topic coverage
- Economic Evaluation of Prudent Antibiotic Usage Campaigns: Enhancing Healthcare Quality and Reducing Costs — shares topic coverage
- Determinant of Rural Household Poverty Nexus Fuel Consumption among Fisherfolks in Kwara State, Nigeria — shares topic coverage
Article metrics
Real usage data collected on this platform.
0
Page views
0
PDF downloads
0
Outbound clicks
20
Citations
Views by country
Approximate, from request IP at view time — not citizenship or institution. Countries with fewer than 5 views are grouped as "Other".
No views recorded yet.
Traffic sources
Referring site, by host.
No traffic recorded yet.
Views and downloads exclude known bots/crawlers. Citations combines this platform's own DOI-resolved index with each external source's own reported total — see Cited by above for individually listed citing works. Last refreshed 0 seconds ago.