Predicting the Major Organism Species in Tobacco in Cao Bang Province, Vietnam Based on the Weather Conditions
Nguyen Van Chin, Nguyen Van Van, Tao Ngoc Tuan, Phạm Hà Thành
Annual Research & Review in Biology · pp. 42–54 · Published 19 Aug 2022
10.9734/arrb/2022/v37i930531Abstract
In recent years, some organism species are appearing popularly in the tobacco in Cao Bang province, Vietnam, and caused severe damage to the tobacco yield and quality such as budworm (Helicoverpa assulta Guene), aphid (Myzus persicea Sulzer), and powdery mildew (Erysiphe cichoracearum D.C). To manage them effectively, forecasting and controlling insect pests play an important role in tobacco cultivation. The predictive model was built base on the Skybit, Fuzzy, and Degree-days model to forecast and give suitable control methods for major insect pests in tobacco. This model is run on Excel software and calculated by an IF function for the growth of the organism. Result of the model predicted accurately the tobacco budworm, aphids, and powdery mildew damaging tobacco in Cao Bang in April 2022. Based on the results of prediction, we give proper control methods for each insect pests, preventing the quick growth and development of the organism species in the field, reducing the use of pesticides, and increasing the income of the growers. This model has also applied to forecast other pests in the tobacco in Vietnam. To increase the quality of the prediction, the model will continue to be perfected and completed in the coming years based on the practice field.
References (35)
- 1 Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores [DOI]
- 2 The Insects: Structure and Function [DOI]
- 3 BRST Cohomology of the Chapline-Manton Model [DOI]
- 4 Degree-days: An aid in crop and pest management
- 5 Reconsidering Leaf Wetness Duration Determination for Plant Disease Management [DOI]
- 6 Suitability of relative humidity as an estimator of leaf wetness duration [DOI]
- 7 Temperature Impacts the Development and Survival of Common Cutworm (Spodoptera litura): Simulation and Visualization of Potential Population Growth in India under Warmer Temperatures through Life Cycle Modelling and Spatial Mapping [DOI]
- 8 Microclimate and the Environmental Physiology of Insects [DOI]
- 9 Model to Enhance Site-Specific Estimation of Leaf Wetness Duration [DOI]
- 10 Influence of Host Plant Structure and Microclimate on the Abundance and Behavior of a Tephritid Fly [DOI]
- 11 A temperature-based phenology model for predicting development, survival and population growth potential of the mealybug, Phenacoccus solenopsis Tinsley (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) [DOI]
- 12 The effect of relative humidity on the behaviour and development of Triatoma brasiliensis [DOI]
- 13 Effects of relative humidity and high temperature on spore germination and development of tomato powdery mildew (Leveillula taurica) [DOI]
- 14 Weather-based Pest Forecasting for Efficient Crop Protection [DOI]
- 15 Plant age and ambient temperature: significant drivers for powdery mildew ( Erysiphe cruciferarum ) epidemics on oilseed rape ( Brassica napus ) [DOI]
- 16 Climate Change and Its Potential Impacts on Insect-Plant Interactions [DOI]
- 17 Estimation and validation of developmental thresholds and thermal requirements for cotton pink bollworm Pectinophora gossypiella [DOI]
- 18 Low-Level Jet Winds, Aphid Vectors, Local Weather, and Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus Outbreaks [DOI]
- 19 Weather based plant diseases forecasting using fuzzy logic [DOI]
- 20 TEMPERATURE-DEPENDENT MODEL FOR PREDICTING FIELD POPULATIONS OF GREEN PEACH APHID, MYZUS PERSICAE (HOMOPTERA: APHIDIDAE) [DOI]
- 21 Decision Support Systems for Plant Disease and Insect Management in Commercial Nurseries in the Midwest: A Perspective Review1 [DOI]
- 22 Effect of temperature and relative humidity on conidial germination of the causal agent of cucumber powdery mildew [DOI]
- 23 Effect of temperature and relative humidity on the population dynamics of brinjal and tomato infesting whitefly, Bemisia tabaci [DOI]
- 24 Principles of Plant Pathology [DOI]
- 25 Threshold Relative Humidity Duration Forecasts for Plant Disease Prediction [DOI]
- 26 The Insects: An Outline of Entomology (3rd Edition) [DOI]
- 27 Effect of Rainfall on Population Abundance of Aphids (Homoptera: Aphididae) on Pecan [DOI]
- 28 Flight activity in helicoverpa armigera
- 29 Active temperature selection of flying Helicoverpa armigera (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) moths.
- 30 Germination of Conidia of Erysiphe Cichoracearum [DOI]
- 31 Estimation of leaf wetness duration using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems [DOI]
- 32 Heat and UV Radiation from Sunlight Exposure Inhibit Powdery Mildew
- 33 Effect of plant age and duration of leaf wetness on pea powdery mildew development
- 34 [Life-table of Helicoverpa armigera in northern China and characters of population development in southern and northern China].
- 35 Author Correction: Degree day-based model predicts pink bollworm phenology across geographical locations of subtropics and semi-arid tropics of India [DOI]
Cited by 4
Yun-Hong Bu, Tingshan Yao, Shao-Wu Geng · Frontiers Big Data · 2025
Minh Lê Nguyễn, Truyền Thế Phạm, P. Tran · Environmental science and pollution research international · 2023
Showing 2 of 4 known citations — external sources report more than can currently be individually listed.
Related research
- Efficacy of Capsaicin Rich Botanicals on the Aphid Population in Lablab (Dolichos lablab L.) under Organic Production System — shares topic coverage
- Survey and Indexing of Weeds Growing around Potato Fields for Their Role as an Inoculum Source for Potato leafroll virus (PLRV) — shares topic coverage
- Relative Susceptibility of Isabgol Varieties/ Genotypes to the Incidence of Aphids — shares topic coverage
- Incidence of Aphid and Whitefly on Chilli and their Management using Biorational and New Generation Insecticides — shares topic coverage
- Infestation Status of Some Major Insect Pests of Soybean and Their Management — shares topic coverage
Article metrics
Real usage data collected on this platform.
7
Page views
0
PDF downloads
0
Outbound clicks
4
Citations
Views over time
Views by country
Approximate, from request IP at view time — not citizenship or institution. Countries with fewer than 5 views are grouped as "Other".
Traffic sources
Referring site, by host.
Views and downloads exclude known bots/crawlers. Citations combines this platform's own DOI-resolved index with each external source's own reported total — see Cited by above for individually listed citing works. Last refreshed 0 seconds ago.