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Research Article Open access CC BY 4.0

Factors of the Prevalence of COVID-19 for Females in Amhara Region, Northern Ethiopia

Yenew Alemu

Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics · pp. 13–18 · Published 17 Apr 2021

10.9734/ajpas/2021/v12i230282

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic in Ethiopia is a global epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Amhara Region is a regional state in northern Ethiopia and the homeland of the Amhara people. The main objective of this study was to identify factors of the prevalence of COVID-19 for females in Amhara region. The data set was obtained from Amhara Public Health Institute 2020.  A negative Binomial regression model was conducted to find out the determinants of the prevalence of COVID-19 for females. Out of 5,627 confirmed cases, 96 patients have died and 1,483 confirmed cases were females from 138 daily reports.  Number of recovered COVID-19 cases ( = -0.4566332, 95%CI: (-0.7364772, -0.1767892), P-value < 0.05), severe cases ( = 1.038589, 95%CI: (0.7531619, 1.324017), P-value < 0.05), total deaths ( = 0.5164175, 95% CI: (0.1438362, 0.8889987), P-value <0.05) and the average age of patients per day ( = 1.511936, 95% C.I: (0.9220257, 2.101846), P-value < 0.05 ) were statistically significant factors for the confirmed case of COVID-19 for females in Amhara region. Above 30 average age of patients per day, below 19 number of recovered cases, above 12 number of severe cases, and above two number of deaths are optimally high-risk factors of confirmed cases of COVID-19 for females.

COVID-19 prevalence female count regression model Amhara region

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