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Research Article Open access CC BY 4.0

Prediction for Modified Topp Leone-Chen Distribution Based on Progressive Type-II Censoring Scheme

G. R. AL-Dayian, A. A. EL-Helbawy, N. T. AL-Sayed, E. M. Swielum

Journal of Advances in Mathematics and Computer Science · pp. 33–57 · Published 17 Apr 2021

10.9734/jamcs/2021/v36i330345

Abstract

Prediction of future events on the basis of the past and present information is a fundamental problem of statistics, arising in many contexts and producing varied solutions. The predictor can be either a point or an interval predictor. This paper focuses on predicting the future observations from the modified Topp-Leone Chen distribution based on progressive Type-II censored scheme. The two-sample prediction is applied to obtain the maximum likelihood, Bayesian and E-Bayesian prediction (point and interval) for future order statistics. The Bayesian and E-Bayesian predictors are considered based on two different loss functions, the balanced squared error loss function; as a symmetric loss function and balanced linear exponential loss function; as an asymmetric loss function. The predictors are obtained based on conjugate gamma prior and uniform hyperprior distributions. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the theoretical results and an application using real data sets are used to demonstrate how the results can be used in practice.

Modified Topp-Leone Chen distribution progressive Type-II censored samples balanced squared error loss function balanced linear exponential loss function two-sample prediction maximum likelihood, Bayesian and E-Bayesian prediction Markov Chain Monte Carlo method

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