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Research Article Open access CC BY 4.0

Application of a New Information Priority Accumulated Grey Model with Simpson to Forecast Carbon Dioxide Emission

Xiwang Xiang, Yubin Cai, Shuchuan Xie

Journal of Advances in Mathematics and Computer Science · pp. 70–83 · Published 31 Mar 2020

10.9734/jamcs/2020/v35i230250

Abstract

Climate warming is a hot topic of common concern all over the world and it has had a significant impact on climate, oceans and human life. The increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has become a significant factor in climate warming. In recent years, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has been mostly anthropogenic emissions. Accurate forecasting of carbon dioxide emissions will effectively propose solutions to the problem of global warming and then improve the environment in which we live. In our work, first of all, we use the new information priority accumulation method to optimize the weight of the new information in the prediction. Then we use the numerical integration method to optimize the background value of the grey model to achieve more accurate forecast. Application case results show that our proposed model is superior to other grey models in predicting carbon dioxide emission in India and Bangladesh.

Carbon dioxide emission grey system model new information priority Simpson.

References (2)

  1. 1 Atmospheric CO 2 : Principal Control Knob Governing Earth’s Temperature [DOI]
  2. 2 Climate change and energy scenarios in Asia-Pacific developing countries [DOI]

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