An AI-driven Approach to Traffic Congestion Prediction in Port Harcourt City Using Naïve Bayes

Abstract

Four important intersections Location Junction, Rumuokoro Junction, GRA Junction, and Rumuokwuta Junction will be the focus of this study's investigation into the persistent problem of traffic congestion in Port Harcourt, Nigeria. In order to provide insights for improved traffic management, the project also aims to construct a predictive model that forecasts traffic congestion on certain routes using the Naïve Bayes algorithm. The study used both exploratory and descriptive research techniques to gather information about Port Harcourt's traffic congestion. Field surveys were carried out at the four intersections between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. to collect traffic counts and vehicle footage. The investigation also included data from Rivers State Command, a division of the Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC). Using this data to find patterns and trends in traffic flow, a Naïve Bayes algorithm was developed to classify and predict the degree of traffic congestion. With a 97% accuracy rate, the algorithm accurately classified 1164 out of 1200 traffic data points, predicting traffic congestion. The predictive algorithm used bar charts to show the traffic conditions; tall, moderate, and tiny bars, respectively, indicated high, medium, and low traffic congestion. The model's efficacy in real-time traffic forecasting was reinforced by the close match between the forecasts and observed traffic patterns. According to the study's findings, the Naïve Bayes algorithm can accurately forecast traffic congestion and provides road users and urban planners with useful information. The model can greatly enhance road efficiency by lowering travel times, relieving congestion, and improving traffic management on Port Harcourt's major arteries by accurately predicting traffic conditions.