Transmission Dynamics of Coronavirus Pandemic: Modeling and Stability Analysis
Journal of Scientific Research and Reports · pp. 101–109 · Published 25 May 2021
10.9734/jsrr/2021/v27i330373Abstract
Covid-19, as a pandemic disease around the world, has generated great threat to human society and caused enormous mortality with weak surveillance system. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe the transmission of Covid-19. Moreover, basic reproduction number and the local and global dynamics of the dynamical model are obtained. Then we apply our model to characterize the transmission process of Covid-19 in Nigeria. It was found that, in order to avoid its outbreak in Nigeria, it may be better to adhere to government policy to curtail the spread through person-to-person transmission and make effort to improve personal hygiene as well as early detection and reporting. Our results may provide some new insights for elimination of Covid-19.
References (5)
- 1 Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals [DOI]
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- 3 Preliminary prediction of the basic reproduction number of the Wuhan novel coronavirus 2019‐nCoV [DOI]
- 4 Study claiming new coronavirus can be transmitted by people without symptoms was flawed [DOI]
- 5 Mining coronavirus genomes for clues to the outbreak's origins [DOI]
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