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Ayele Taye Goshu

Publications (7)

Conditional Probabilities of AIDS Disease Transitions Using Semi-Markov Models

Tilahun Ferede Asena & Ayele Taye Goshu · Annual Research & Review in Biology · 2019

Analyzing progression of diseases is vital to monitor patient's traversal over time through a disease. Clinical study settings present modeling challenges, as patients' disease trajectories are only partially observed, and patients' disease statuses are only assessed at clinic vi...

Open access Research Article 10.9734/arrb/2019/v31i330049

Missclassification of HIV Disease Stages with Continuous Time Hidden Markov Models

Tatek Getachew Habtemichael, Ayele Taye Goshu & Gemeda Bedaso Buta · Journal of Advances in Medicine and Medical Research · 2018

The purpose of this study is to explore the simple Markov and Hidden Markov models with continuous time to investigate disease progression of HIV/AIDS patients under ART follow-up at Shashemene Referral Hospital, Ethiopia. The msm R package is used for the analysis. Results from...

Open access Research Article 10.9734/JAMMR/2018/39428

Bayesian Joint Modelling of Survival of HIV/AIDS Patients Using Accelerated Failure Time Data and Longitudinal CD4 Cell Counts

Markos Abiso Erango, Ayele Taye Goshu, Gemeda Bedaso Buta & Ahmed Hassen Dessiso · Journal of Advances in Medicine and Medical Research · 2017

Objective: This paper aims to compare various Bayesian joint models based on the accelerated failure time distributions in analyzing longitudinal observations on CD4 cell counts as growth measurements and time-to-death events of HIV/AIDS patients. Three accelerated failure time d...

Open access Research Article 10.9734/BJMMR/2017/32123

Spatial Modelling of Fever Prevalence and Suspected Malaria Cases among Children: A Cross-sectional Study

Aklilu Toma Shamenna & Ayele Taye Goshu · International Journal of TROPICAL DISEASE & Health · 2015

Background: Disease morbidity, mortality and speed of spread vary substantially spatially. These have important implications for effective planning and targeting intervention strategies. The purpose of this study was to model the spatial dependence of fever prevalence and suspect...

Open access Research Article 10.9734/IJTDH/2016/13191

Factors Influencing the Risk of Death among Patients with Heart Failure

Muzeyin Ahmed Berarti & Ayele Taye Goshu · Cardiology and Angiology: An International Journal · 2015

The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of risk factors on the death of patients with heart failure in a cohort of patients hospitalized with heart failure disease. In this paper we used chi-square tests with the aim of studying the relationship of each factor wit...

Open access Research Article 10.9734/CA/2015/17793

Bayesian Joint Modelling of Disease Progression Marker and Time to Death Event of HIV/AIDS Patients under ART Follow-up

Gemeda Bedaso Buta, Ayele Taye Goshu & Hailemichael M. Worku · Journal of Advances in Medicine and Medical Research · 2014

Objectives: To develop separate and joint statistical models in the Bayesian framework for longitudinal measurements and time to death event data of HIV/AIDS patients. Study design: Longitudinal study. Place and Duration of Study: The population of study includes all HIV/AIDS pat...

Open access Research Article 10.9734/BJMMR/2015/12907